Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-17 13:00
Venezia – Napoli
Home
10%
9.56 fair
Draw
19%
5.16 fair
Away
70%
1.43 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Venezia – Napoli
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Venezia – Napoli
Expected Goals2.74
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.551%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
11.3%
→
10.5%
-0.9 pp
Draw
20.4%
→
19.4%
-1.1 pp
Away
68.2%
→
70.2%
+1.9 pp
Over 2.5
49.7%
→
51.4%
+1.7 pp
Both teams to score
42.6%
→
42.7%
+0.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.66 →
2.74
+0.08
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 10.5% | 9.56 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.16 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 89.5% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 10.4% | 9.62 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 89.6% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
HT/FT
| 5.0% | 19.88 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.68 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.41 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 7.98 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.39 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.91 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — |
Total goals
| 93.5% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — |
Home team goals
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — |
Away team goals
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
Both to score
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — |
Corners
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.8 | — |
Away corners
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.5 | — |
Cards
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds