Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-16 18:45
Frosinone – Sassuolo
Home
43%
2.33 fair
Draw
24%
4.17 fair
Away
33%
3.01 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Frosinone – Sassuolo
FINAL
Actual Result
4–2
Frosinone – Sassuolo
Expected Goals3.02
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
46.9%
→
42.8%
-4.0 pp
Draw
23.8%
→
24.0%
+0.2 pp
Away
29.3%
→
33.2%
+3.8 pp
Over 2.5
58.8%
→
57.9%
-0.9 pp
Both teams to score
60.4%
→
60.4%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.06 →
3.02
-0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.4% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — |
Both halves
| 11.3% | 8.87 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.52 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.1 | — | |||
| 9.6% | 10.45 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.91 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 7.97 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.03 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.9 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — |
Total goals
| 95.2% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.11 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — |
Both to score
| 60.4% | 1.65 | — |
Corners
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — |
Home corners
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — |
Away corners
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — |
Cards
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds