Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-09-14 20:00

Villarreal – Betis

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 3.11
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 9.92 model adds signal (+2.4%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.7 model adds signal (+1.2%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

50.1% 1.99 49.8%
22.9% 4.37 23.8%
27.0% 3.7 26.4%
73.0% 1.37
49.9% 2.01
77.1% 1.3

Half-time result

47.0% 2.13
32.0% 3.13
21.0% 4.76

Half-time double chance

79.0% 1.27
53.0% 1.89
68.0% 1.47

Both halves

15.8% 6.32

HT/FT

37.9% 2.64
6.8% 14.75
10.6% 9.42
12.0% 8.34
9.4% 10.67
4.1% 24.39
15.2% 6.56

HT/FT double chance

67.2% 1.49
60.2% 1.66
30.5% 3.28
50.4% 1.98
57.1% 1.75
28.5% 3.51
28.4% 3.53
36.9% 2.71
40.7% 2.46

Total goals

95.6% 1.05
81.8% 1.22
60.5% 1.65 60.2%
38.4% 2.61
18.2% 5.49
39.5% 2.53 39.8%
61.6% 1.62

1st-half goals

82.0% 1.22
50.6% 1.98

Home team goals

84.0% 1.19
55.0% 1.82

Away team goals

72.6% 1.38
36.8% 2.72

Both to score

61.0% 1.64

Corners

72.3% 1.38
61.8% 1.62
51.3% 1.95
41.1% 2.43
31.6% 3.17
38.2% 2.61
48.7% 2.05
58.9% 1.7
68.4% 1.46

Home corners

74.0% 1.35
60.2% 1.66
45.6% 2.19

Away corners

60.4% 1.66
44.2% 2.26
29.7% 3.37

Cards

78.8% 1.27
63.3% 1.58
47.9% 2.09
33.7% 2.97
36.6% 2.73
52.1% 1.92
66.3% 1.51

model · fair · market (no margin)