Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-09-13 20:00

Sociedad – Ath Madrid

Home 34% 2.9 fair
Draw 25% 4.06 fair
Away 41% 2.44 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Sociedad – Ath Madrid
FINAL Actual Result 0–3 Sociedad – Ath Madrid
Expected Goals2.93
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.556%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 2.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.05 model adds signal (+2.4%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.55 model adds signal (+1.2%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

34.4% 2.9 33.6% 2.80
24.6% 4.06 26.9% 3.50
40.9% 2.44 39.5% 2.38
59.1% 1.69 —
65.6% 1.53 —
75.3% 1.33 —

Half-time result

29.6% 3.38 —
39.5% 2.53 —
30.9% 3.24 —

Half-time double chance

69.1% 1.45 —
70.4% 1.42 —
60.5% 1.65 —

Both halves

8.9% 11.26 —

HT/FT

21.1% 4.75 —
5.7% 17.7 —
11.3% 8.87 —
14.0% 7.13 —
14.2% 7.03 —
5.0% 20.08 —
23.8% 4.2 —

HT/FT double chance

52.0% 1.92 —
49.5% 2.02 —
36.8% 2.72 —
33.8% 2.96 —
49.9% 2.01 —
37.3% 2.68 —
32.4% 3.09 —
51.4% 1.95 —
57.0% 1.75 —

Total goals

94.7% 1.06 —
79.1% 1.26 —
56.1% 1.78 56.9% 1.67
33.7% 2.97 —
20.9% 4.79 —
43.9% 2.28 43.1% 2.20
66.3% 1.51 —

1st-half goals

73.4% 1.36 —
38.0% 2.63 —

Home team goals

75.2% 1.33 —
40.4% 2.48 —

Away team goals

78.6% 1.27 —
45.3% 2.21 —

Both to score

59.0% 1.69 —

Corners

73.4% 1.36 —
62.7% 1.59 —
52.4% 1.91 —
42.1% 2.37 —
32.7% 3.06 —
37.3% 2.68 —
47.6% 2.1 —
57.9% 1.73 —
67.3% 1.49 —

Home corners

73.9% 1.35 —
60.0% 1.67 —
45.3% 2.21 —

Away corners

62.3% 1.6 —
45.9% 2.18 —
31.6% 3.16 —

Cards

76.9% 1.3 —
61.0% 1.64 —
45.4% 2.2 —
31.5% 3.18 —
39.0% 2.56 —
54.6% 1.83 —
68.5% 1.46 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds