Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-09-13 20:00

Sociedad Ath Madrid

Home 34% 2.9 fair
Draw 25% 4.06 fair
Away 41% 2.44 fair
Expected Goals2.93
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.556%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 10.05 model adds signal (+2.4%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.55 model adds signal (+1.2%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

34.4% 2.9 33.6% 2.80
24.6% 4.06 26.9% 3.50
40.9% 2.44 39.5% 2.38
59.1% 1.69
65.6% 1.53
75.3% 1.33

Half-time result

29.6% 3.38
39.5% 2.53
30.9% 3.24

Half-time double chance

69.1% 1.45
70.4% 1.42
60.5% 1.65

Both halves

8.9% 11.26

HT/FT

21.1% 4.75
5.7% 17.7
11.3% 8.87
14.0% 7.13
14.2% 7.03
5.0% 20.08
23.8% 4.2

HT/FT double chance

52.0% 1.92
49.5% 2.02
36.8% 2.72
33.8% 2.96
49.9% 2.01
37.3% 2.68
32.4% 3.09
51.4% 1.95
57.0% 1.75

Total goals

94.7% 1.06
79.1% 1.26
56.1% 1.78 56.9% 1.67
33.7% 2.97
20.9% 4.79
43.9% 2.28 43.1% 2.20
66.3% 1.51

1st-half goals

73.4% 1.36
38.0% 2.63

Home team goals

75.2% 1.33
40.4% 2.48

Away team goals

78.6% 1.27
45.3% 2.21

Both to score

59.0% 1.69

Corners

73.4% 1.36
62.7% 1.59
52.4% 1.91
42.1% 2.37
32.7% 3.06
37.3% 2.68
47.6% 2.1
57.9% 1.73
67.3% 1.49

Home corners

73.9% 1.35
60.0% 1.67
45.3% 2.21

Away corners

62.3% 1.6
45.9% 2.18
31.6% 3.16

Cards

76.9% 1.3
61.0% 1.64
45.4% 2.2
31.5% 3.18
39.0% 2.56
54.6% 1.83
68.5% 1.46

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds