Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-09-13 13:00

Celta Malaga

Home 57% 1.77 fair
Draw 24% 4.13 fair
Away 19% 5.2 fair
Expected Goals2.55
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.547%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 9.03 model adds signal (+2.4%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.52 model adds signal (+1.2%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

56.6% 1.77 56.1% 1.70
24.2% 4.13 25.8% 3.70
19.2% 5.2 18.2% 5.25
80.8% 1.24
43.4% 2.3
75.8% 1.32

Half-time result

36.9% 2.71
35.8% 2.8
27.4% 3.65

Half-time double chance

72.7% 1.38
63.1% 1.58
64.2% 1.56

Both halves

18.9% 5.3

HT/FT

34.9% 2.87
17.9% 5.59
15.0% 6.64
3.8% 26.32
7.3% 13.66
16.2% 6.16

HT/FT double chance

69.7% 1.44
55.8% 1.79
19.9% 5.03
47.8% 2.09
55.1% 1.82
25.6% 3.91
44.1% 2.27
40.7% 2.45
41.4% 2.41

Total goals

92.5% 1.08
72.8% 1.37
47.2% 2.12 45.2% 2.10
25.4% 3.93
27.3% 3.67
52.8% 1.9 54.8% 1.73
74.6% 1.34

1st-half goals

78.4% 1.28
45.1% 2.22

Home team goals

81.6% 1.23
50.2% 1.99

Away team goals

58.4% 1.71
21.5% 4.64

Both to score

47.5% 2.11

Corners

63.8% 1.57
52.4% 1.91
41.0% 2.44
31.3% 3.19
23.0% 4.34
47.6% 2.1
59.0% 1.7
68.7% 1.46
77.0% 1.3

Home corners

65.7% 1.52
50.0% 2.0
35.4% 2.83

Away corners

57.1% 1.75
40.3% 2.48
26.4% 3.79

Cards

77.3% 1.29
61.7% 1.62
45.5% 2.2
31.5% 3.17
38.3% 2.61
54.5% 1.84
68.5% 1.46

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds