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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-09-13 13:00

Celta – Malaga

Home 57% 1.77 fair
Draw 24% 4.13 fair
Away 19% 5.2 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Celta – Malaga
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Celta – Malaga
Expected Goals2.55
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.547%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 2.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.03 model adds signal (+2.4%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.52 model adds signal (+1.2%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

56.6% 1.77 56.1% 1.70
24.2% 4.13 25.8% 3.70
19.2% 5.2 18.2% 5.25
80.8% 1.24 —
43.4% 2.3 —
75.8% 1.32 —

Half-time result

36.9% 2.71 —
35.8% 2.8 —
27.4% 3.65 —

Half-time double chance

72.7% 1.38 —
63.1% 1.58 —
64.2% 1.56 —

Both halves

18.9% 5.3 —

HT/FT

34.9% 2.87 —
17.9% 5.59 —
15.0% 6.64 —
3.8% 26.32 —
7.3% 13.66 —
16.2% 6.16 —

HT/FT double chance

69.7% 1.44 —
55.8% 1.79 —
19.9% 5.03 —
47.8% 2.09 —
55.1% 1.82 —
25.6% 3.91 —
44.1% 2.27 —
40.7% 2.45 —
41.4% 2.41 —

Total goals

92.5% 1.08 —
72.8% 1.37 —
47.2% 2.12 45.2% 2.10
25.4% 3.93 —
27.3% 3.67 —
52.8% 1.9 54.8% 1.73
74.6% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

78.4% 1.28 —
45.1% 2.22 —

Home team goals

81.6% 1.23 —
50.2% 1.99 —

Away team goals

58.4% 1.71 —
21.5% 4.64 —

Both to score

47.5% 2.11 —

Corners

63.8% 1.57 —
52.4% 1.91 —
41.0% 2.44 —
31.3% 3.19 —
23.0% 4.34 —
47.6% 2.1 —
59.0% 1.7 —
68.7% 1.46 —
77.0% 1.3 —

Home corners

65.7% 1.52 —
50.0% 2.0 —
35.4% 2.83 —

Away corners

57.1% 1.75 —
40.3% 2.48 —
26.4% 3.79 —

Cards

77.3% 1.29 —
61.7% 1.62 —
45.5% 2.2 —
31.5% 3.17 —
38.3% 2.61 —
54.5% 1.84 —
68.5% 1.46 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds