Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Greece / 2026-09-13 19:30

Panathinaikos Panetolikos

Home 71% 1.4 fair
Draw 18% 5.53 fair
Away 11% 9.39 fair
Expected Goals2.83
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.553%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 8.74 no edge over baseline
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 5.74 model adds signal (+1.0%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

71.3% 1.4 71.2% 1.30
18.1% 5.53 18.5% 5.00
10.7% 9.39 10.3% 9.00
89.3% 1.12
28.7% 3.48
81.9% 1.22

Half-time result

56.5% 1.77
34.2% 2.93
9.3% 10.75

Half-time double chance

90.7% 1.1
43.5% 2.3
65.8% 1.52

Both halves

29.4% 3.41

HT/FT

51.6% 1.94
4.0% 25.0
17.8% 5.61
11.6% 8.64
4.8% 21.01
5.0% 20.16

HT/FT double chance

85.0% 1.18
75.1% 1.33
21.3% 4.7
60.0% 1.67
59.3% 1.69
12.4% 8.07
33.8% 2.96
29.4% 3.4
23.8% 4.2

Total goals

94.0% 1.06
77.1% 1.3
53.5% 1.87 53.9% 1.75
31.2% 3.21
22.9% 4.37
46.5% 2.15 46.1% 2.05
68.8% 1.45

1st-half goals

73.9% 1.35
38.8% 2.58

Home team goals

88.2% 1.13
63.2% 1.58

Away team goals

48.8% 2.05
14.7% 6.8

Both to score

43.0% 2.33

Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

61.8% 1.62
49.5% 2.02
38.1% 2.63
28.4% 3.52
20.3% 4.92
50.5% 1.98
61.9% 1.61
71.6% 1.4
79.7% 1.26

Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

79.8% 1.25
66.0% 1.51
51.9% 1.93

Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

31.4% 3.18
16.7% 6.0
8.3% 12.08

Cards

87.4% 1.14
76.0% 1.31
62.7% 1.6
48.7% 2.05
23.9% 4.18
37.3% 2.68
51.3% 1.95

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds