Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Greece / 2026-09-13 19:00

PAOK – Aris

Home 63% 1.6 fair
Draw 21% 4.73 fair
Away 16% 6.18 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score PAOK – Aris
FINAL Actual Result 2–0 PAOK – Aris
Expected Goals2.86
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.554%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 2.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.9 no edge over baseline
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.21 model adds signal (+1.0%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

62.7% 1.6 63.4% 1.46
21.1% 4.73 20.6% 4.50
16.2% 6.18 16.1% 5.75
83.8% 1.19 —
37.3% 2.68 —
78.9% 1.27 —

Half-time result

38.2% 2.62 —
43.7% 2.29 —
18.1% 5.53 —

Half-time double chance

81.9% 1.22 —
61.8% 1.62 —
56.3% 1.78 —

Both halves

21.4% 4.67 —

HT/FT

34.0% 2.94 —
3.3% 30.3 —
24.2% 4.14 —
13.1% 7.66 —
6.5% 15.36 —
4.5% 22.12 —
4.8% 20.92 —
8.8% 11.39 —

HT/FT double chance

74.5% 1.34 —
65.6% 1.53 —
23.8% 4.21 —
46.6% 2.15 —
48.2% 2.08 —
17.7% 5.64 —
46.5% 2.15 —
44.0% 2.27 —
33.1% 3.02 —

Total goals

94.0% 1.06 —
77.8% 1.28 —
54.2% 1.84 54.6% 1.73
31.9% 3.13 —
22.2% 4.51 —
45.8% 2.19 45.4% 2.08
68.1% 1.47 —

1st-half goals

66.0% 1.51 —
28.9% 3.45 —

Home team goals

85.8% 1.16 —
58.7% 1.7 —

Away team goals

58.7% 1.7 —
21.9% 4.57 —

Both to score

50.5% 1.98 —

Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

62.8% 1.59 —
51.1% 1.96 —
39.8% 2.51 —
30.1% 3.32 —
21.3% 4.69 —
48.9% 2.05 —
60.2% 1.66 —
69.9% 1.43 —
78.7% 1.27 —

Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

73.2% 1.37 —
58.2% 1.72 —
43.0% 2.33 —

Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

46.3% 2.16 —
29.2% 3.42 —
16.9% 5.92 —

Cards

84.2% 1.19 —
70.5% 1.42 —
55.1% 1.81 —
40.5% 2.47 —
29.5% 3.39 —
44.9% 2.23 —
59.5% 1.68 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds