Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Greece / 2026-09-13 19:00

PAOK Aris

Home 63% 1.6 fair
Draw 21% 4.73 fair
Away 16% 6.18 fair
Expected Goals2.86
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.554%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 8.9 no edge over baseline
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 5.21 model adds signal (+1.0%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

62.7% 1.6 63.4% 1.46
21.1% 4.73 20.6% 4.50
16.2% 6.18 16.1% 5.75
83.8% 1.19
37.3% 2.68
78.9% 1.27

Half-time result

38.2% 2.62
43.7% 2.29
18.1% 5.53

Half-time double chance

81.9% 1.22
61.8% 1.62
56.3% 1.78

Both halves

21.4% 4.67

HT/FT

34.0% 2.94
3.3% 30.3
24.2% 4.14
13.1% 7.66
6.5% 15.36
4.5% 22.12
4.8% 20.92
8.8% 11.39

HT/FT double chance

74.5% 1.34
65.6% 1.53
23.8% 4.21
46.6% 2.15
48.2% 2.08
17.7% 5.64
46.5% 2.15
44.0% 2.27
33.1% 3.02

Total goals

94.0% 1.06
77.8% 1.28
54.2% 1.84 54.6% 1.73
31.9% 3.13
22.2% 4.51
45.8% 2.19 45.4% 2.08
68.1% 1.47

1st-half goals

66.0% 1.51
28.9% 3.45

Home team goals

85.8% 1.16
58.7% 1.7

Away team goals

58.7% 1.7
21.9% 4.57

Both to score

50.5% 1.98

Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

62.8% 1.59
51.1% 1.96
39.8% 2.51
30.1% 3.32
21.3% 4.69
48.9% 2.05
60.2% 1.66
69.9% 1.43
78.7% 1.27

Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

73.2% 1.37
58.2% 1.72
43.0% 2.33

Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

46.3% 2.16
29.2% 3.42
16.9% 5.92

Cards

84.2% 1.19
70.5% 1.42
55.1% 1.81
40.5% 2.47
29.5% 3.39
44.9% 2.23
59.5% 1.68

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds