Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Greece / 2026-09-13 17:00

Asteras Tripolis – AEK

Home 11% 9.29 fair
Draw 20% 5.11 fair
Away 70% 1.44 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Asteras Tripolis – AEK
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Asteras Tripolis – AEK
Expected Goals2.66
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.550%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 2.66
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.67 no edge over baseline
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.67 model adds signal (+1.0%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

10.8% 9.29 10.9% 8.50
19.6% 5.11 21.4% 4.33
69.7% 1.44 67.7% 1.37
30.3% 3.29 —
89.2% 1.12 —
80.4% 1.24 —

Half-time result

10.4% 9.64 —
41.4% 2.41 —
48.2% 2.08 —

Half-time double chance

51.8% 1.93 —
89.6% 1.12 —
58.6% 1.71 —

HT/FT

5.1% 19.69 —
5.1% 19.8 —
13.1% 7.63 —
23.3% 4.3 —
3.5% 28.33 —
44.0% 2.27 —

HT/FT double chance

26.2% 3.82 —
35.8% 2.8 —
41.7% 2.4 —
12.2% 8.21 —
52.1% 1.92 —
52.8% 1.89 —
22.3% 4.48 —
73.0% 1.37 —
83.9% 1.19 —

Total goals

93.0% 1.08 —
74.8% 1.34 —
49.9% 2.0 50.0% 1.90
28.3% 3.53 —
25.2% 3.97 —
50.1% 2.0 50.0% 1.90
71.7% 1.39 —

1st-half goals

66.5% 1.5 —
30.5% 3.27 —

Home team goals

47.6% 2.1 —
13.8% 7.27 —

Away team goals

86.8% 1.15 —
60.2% 1.66 —

Both to score

41.4% 2.42 —

Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

61.0% 1.64 —
49.0% 2.04 —
37.5% 2.66 —
27.7% 3.62 —
19.4% 5.17 —
51.0% 1.96 —
62.4% 1.6 —
72.4% 1.38 —
80.7% 1.24 —

Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

49.1% 2.04 —
31.7% 3.16 —
18.9% 5.3 —

Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

69.0% 1.45 —
53.0% 1.89 —
37.9% 2.64 —

Cards

87.6% 1.14 —
76.0% 1.32 —
62.0% 1.61 —
47.7% 2.09 —
24.0% 4.17 —
38.0% 2.63 —
52.2% 1.91 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds