Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-09-13 19:00
PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam
Home
81%
1.23 fair
Draw
11%
8.72 fair
Away
7%
13.42 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam
FINAL
Actual Result
4–1
PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam
Expected Goals4.14
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.578%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 81.1% | 1.23 | 80.1% | 1.18 | ||
| 11.5% | 8.72 | 12.6% | 7.50 | ||
| 7.4% | 13.42 | 7.3% | 13.00 | ||
| 92.5% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.29 | — | |||
| 88.5% | 1.13 | — |
Half-time result
| 57.6% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.21 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 87.8% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
Both halves
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — |
HT/FT
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 17.04 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.84 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.05 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.88 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 84.4% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.5 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 10.3% | 9.74 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.33 | — |
Total goals
| 91.9% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 78.2% | 1.28 | 78.3% | 1.20 | ||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.41 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.59 | 21.7% | 4.33 | ||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — |
1st-half goals
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — |
Home team goals
| 95.8% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.0% | 1.2 | — |
Away team goals
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — |
Both to score
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — |
Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 92.0% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.51 | — |
Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.46 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds