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Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-11-21

Kilmarnock – Aberdeen

Home 41% 2.43 fair
Draw 26% 3.86 fair
Away 33% 3.04 fair
Expected Goals2.66
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.550%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 39.1% → 41.2% +2.1 pp
Draw 26.3% → 25.9% -0.4 pp
Away 34.6% → 32.9% -1.7 pp
Over 2.5 49.1% → 50.2% +1.1 pp
Both teams to score 53.4% → 53.9% +0.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.63 → 2.66 +0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.66
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.29 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.46 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

41.2% 2.43 —
25.9% 3.86 —
32.9% 3.04 —
67.1% 1.49 —
58.8% 1.7 —
74.1% 1.35 —

Half-time result

30.4% 3.29 —
43.6% 2.29 —
25.9% 3.86 —

Half-time double chance

74.1% 1.35 —
69.6% 1.44 —
56.4% 1.77 —

Both halves

10.9% 9.17 —

HT/FT

23.5% 4.25 —
4.8% 20.83 —
15.2% 6.58 —
16.0% 6.24 —
12.4% 8.06 —
5.1% 19.61 —
18.4% 5.44 —

HT/FT double chance

59.6% 1.68 —
53.2% 1.88 —
35.3% 2.83 —
35.9% 2.79 —
46.5% 2.15 —
30.4% 3.29 —
38.8% 2.58 —
48.4% 2.06 —
51.9% 1.93 —

Total goals

92.8% 1.08 —
74.4% 1.34 —
50.2% 1.99 —
27.9% 3.59 —
25.6% 3.91 —
49.8% 2.01 —
72.1% 1.39 —

1st-half goals

67.3% 1.49 —
31.0% 3.22 —

Home team goals

75.9% 1.32 —
41.8% 2.4 —

Away team goals

70.7% 1.41 —
34.9% 2.86 —

Both to score

53.9% 1.86 —

Corners

75.6% 1.32 —
65.9% 1.52 —
55.5% 1.8 —
45.2% 2.21 —
35.0% 2.86 —
34.1% 2.94 —
44.5% 2.25 —
54.8% 1.82 —
65.0% 1.54 —

Home corners

74.1% 1.35 —
59.6% 1.68 —
45.1% 2.22 —

Away corners

66.7% 1.5 —
50.7% 1.97 —
36.1% 2.77 —

Cards

78.6% 1.27 —
61.8% 1.62 —
45.2% 2.21 —
30.2% 3.31 —
38.2% 2.62 —
54.8% 1.82 —
69.8% 1.43 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds