Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-09-13 13:30
Heerenveen – Telstar
Home
60%
1.66 fair
Draw
20%
5.03 fair
Away
20%
5.07 fair
Expected Goals3.44
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.567%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 60.4% | 1.66 | 59.1% | 1.60 | ||
| 19.9% | 5.03 | 21.0% | 4.50 | ||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | 19.9% | 4.75 | ||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 6.0 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — |
Both halves
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.08 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.48 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.17 | — | |||
| 8.5% | 11.79 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.4 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.06 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.1 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.95 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — |
Total goals
| 96.7% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | 67.3% | 1.40 | ||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.87 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | 32.7% | 2.88 | ||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — |
Home team goals
| 89.1% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — |
Both to score
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — |
Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — |
Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — |
Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 7.0 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds