Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-09-13 11:15
Excelsior – Utrecht
Home
44%
2.27 fair
Draw
24%
4.21 fair
Away
32%
3.11 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
Excelsior – Utrecht
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Excelsior – Utrecht
Expected Goals3.03
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.559%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 44.0% | 2.27 | 43.1% | 2.20 | ||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | 25.3% | 3.75 | ||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | 31.6% | 3.00 | ||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.0% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Both halves
| 12.9% | 7.78 | — |
HT/FT
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.17 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.03 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.22 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.3 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.91 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.59 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — |
Total goals
| 95.2% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | 59.0% | 1.60 | ||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | 41.0% | 2.30 | ||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — |
Both to score
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — |
Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — |
Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.22 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 86.1% | 1.16 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds