Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-10-31 15:00
Motherwell – St Mirren
Home
55%
1.81 fair
Draw
25%
4.02 fair
Away
20%
5.02 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Motherwell – St Mirren
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Motherwell – St Mirren
Expected Goals2.51
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.546%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
54.4%
→
55.2%
+0.8 pp
Draw
25.1%
→
24.9%
-0.2 pp
Away
20.5%
→
19.9%
-0.6 pp
Over 2.5
44.3%
→
45.8%
+1.5 pp
Both teams to score
45.6%
→
47.1%
+1.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.44 →
2.51
+0.07
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.02 | — | |||
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.22 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
Both halves
| 17.3% | 5.79 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.69 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.09 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.3 | — | |||
| 7.6% | 13.09 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.2 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.86 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.7 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — |
Total goals
| 91.8% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — |
Away team goals
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — |
Both to score
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — |
Corners
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — |
Home corners
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Away corners
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — |
Cards
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds