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Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-10-28 19:45

St Johnstone – Motherwell

Home 29% 3.46 fair
Draw 27% 3.69 fair
Away 44% 2.27 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 St Johnstone – Motherwell
FINAL Actual Result 2–2 St Johnstone – Motherwell
Expected Goals2.4
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 27.0% → 28.9% +1.9 pp
Draw 26.8% → 27.1% +0.4 pp
Away 46.2% → 44.0% -2.3 pp
Over 2.5 44.8% → 43.0% -1.7 pp
Both teams to score 49.4% → 47.7% -1.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.48 → 2.4 -0.08
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.4
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.49 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.02 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.9% 3.46 —
27.1% 3.69 —
44.0% 2.27 —
56.0% 1.78 —
71.1% 1.41 —
72.9% 1.37 —

Half-time result

19.7% 5.07 —
45.4% 2.2 —
34.9% 2.87 —

Half-time double chance

65.1% 1.54 —
80.3% 1.25 —
54.6% 1.83 —

Both halves

5.6% 17.92 —

HT/FT

14.0% 7.15 —
4.1% 24.21 —
13.0% 7.72 —
17.4% 5.73 —
15.0% 6.65 —
5.6% 17.99 —
27.3% 3.66 —

HT/FT double chance

48.5% 2.06 —
43.6% 2.29 —
38.2% 2.62 —
25.6% 3.9 —
44.9% 2.23 —
38.6% 2.59 —
37.9% 2.64 —
57.3% 1.75 —
65.4% 1.53 —

Total goals

91.0% 1.1 —
69.1% 1.45 —
43.0% 2.32 —
21.8% 4.58 —
30.9% 3.24 —
57.0% 1.76 —
78.2% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

63.8% 1.57 —
26.6% 3.76 —

Home team goals

64.5% 1.55 —
28.3% 3.54 —

Away team goals

74.2% 1.35 —
39.3% 2.54 —

Both to score

47.7% 2.1 —

Corners

69.0% 1.45 —
57.7% 1.73 —
46.3% 2.16 —
35.9% 2.78 —
26.9% 3.71 —
42.3% 2.36 —
53.6% 1.86 —
64.0% 1.56 —
73.1% 1.37 —

Home corners

62.5% 1.6 —
46.1% 2.17 —
31.3% 3.19 —

Away corners

68.3% 1.46 —
52.5% 1.91 —
37.3% 2.68 —

Cards

73.6% 1.36 —
55.0% 1.82 —
37.1% 2.7 —
23.0% 4.35 —
45.0% 2.22 —
62.9% 1.59 —
77.0% 1.3 —

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