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Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-10-28 19:45

Dundee – Kilmarnock

Home 50% 2.0 fair
Draw 23% 4.33 fair
Away 27% 3.71 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Dundee – Kilmarnock
FINAL Actual Result 3–1 Dundee – Kilmarnock
Expected Goals3.09
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.560%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 47.4% → 49.9% +2.5 pp
Draw 23.7% → 23.1% -0.6 pp
Away 28.9% → 27.0% -1.9 pp
Over 2.5 58.2% → 59.8% +1.6 pp
Both teams to score 59.7% → 60.1% +0.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.03 → 3.09 +0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.09
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.88 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.99 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.9% 2.0 —
23.1% 4.33 —
27.0% 3.71 —
73.1% 1.37 —
50.1% 2.0 —
76.9% 1.3 —

Half-time result

41.8% 2.39 —
37.1% 2.69 —
21.0% 4.75 —

Half-time double chance

79.0% 1.27 —
58.2% 1.72 —
62.9% 1.59 —

Both halves

16.0% 6.26 —

HT/FT

33.3% 3.0 —
6.0% 16.72 —
14.1% 7.09 —
12.8% 7.78 —
10.2% 9.83 —
4.3% 23.31 —
14.2% 7.02 —

HT/FT double chance

66.3% 1.51 —
60.1% 1.66 —
31.5% 3.17 —
46.1% 2.17 —
52.6% 1.9 —
27.1% 3.7 —
33.8% 2.96 —
41.0% 2.44 —
41.5% 2.41 —

Total goals

95.3% 1.05 —
81.3% 1.23 —
59.8% 1.67 —
37.5% 2.67 —
18.7% 5.34 —
40.2% 2.49 —
62.5% 1.6 —

1st-half goals

75.3% 1.33 —
40.6% 2.46 —

Home team goals

83.7% 1.19 —
54.1% 1.85 —

Away team goals

71.8% 1.39 —
36.7% 2.73 —

Both to score

60.1% 1.66 —

Corners

72.5% 1.38 —
61.8% 1.62 —
50.6% 1.98 —
40.1% 2.49 —
30.7% 3.26 —
38.2% 2.62 —
49.4% 2.02 —
59.9% 1.67 —
69.3% 1.44 —

Home corners

69.8% 1.43 —
54.4% 1.84 —
39.2% 2.55 —

Away corners

65.8% 1.52 —
50.0% 2.0 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Cards

72.8% 1.37 —
54.6% 1.83 —
36.8% 2.72 —
22.7% 4.41 —
45.4% 2.2 —
63.2% 1.58 —
77.3% 1.29 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds