Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-10-28 19:45
Dundee – Kilmarnock
Home
50%
2.0 fair
Draw
23%
4.33 fair
Away
27%
3.71 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Dundee – Kilmarnock
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Dundee – Kilmarnock
Expected Goals3.09
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
47.4%
→
49.9%
+2.5 pp
Draw
23.7%
→
23.1%
-0.6 pp
Away
28.9%
→
27.0%
-1.9 pp
Over 2.5
58.2%
→
59.8%
+1.6 pp
Both teams to score
59.7%
→
60.1%
+0.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.03 →
3.09
+0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.75 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 16.0% | 6.26 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.72 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.09 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.78 | — | |||
| 10.2% | 9.83 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.31 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.02 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — |
Total goals
| 95.3% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.34 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.7% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — |
Away team goals
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — |
Both to score
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — |
Corners
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — |
Home corners
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — |
Away corners
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — |
Cards
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds