Fixtures / EPL / 2026-09-13 16:30
Man United – Man City
Home
31%
3.26 fair
Draw
23%
4.37 fair
Away
46%
2.15 fair
Expected Goals3.17
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.561%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 30.6% | 3.26 | 29.4% | 3.25 | ||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | 25.1% | 3.80 | ||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | 45.5% | 2.10 | ||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.6% | 4.62 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 6.9% | 14.56 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.8% | 6.76 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 24.04 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.89 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.86 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.17 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.45 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.75 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — |
Total goals
| 95.6% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | 62.0% | 1.53 | ||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.62 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | 38.0% | 2.50 | ||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — |
Away team goals
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — |
Both to score
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — |
Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — |
Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — |
Cards
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.75 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds