Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-10-17 14:00
Kilmarnock – Motherwell
Home
31%
3.25 fair
Draw
25%
3.93 fair
Away
44%
2.28 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Kilmarnock – Motherwell
FINAL
Actual Result
3–2
Kilmarnock – Motherwell
Expected Goals2.82
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
30.4%
→
30.8%
+0.4 pp
Draw
25.1%
→
25.4%
+0.3 pp
Away
44.5%
→
43.8%
-0.7 pp
Over 2.5
53.5%
→
53.5%
+0.1 pp
Both teams to score
57.0%
→
57.3%
+0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.82 →
2.82
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.8% | 4.2 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — |
Both halves
| 6.9% | 14.45 | — |
HT/FT
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.69 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.76 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.69 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.59 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 17.04 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — |
Away team goals
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — |
Both to score
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — |
Corners
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — |
Away corners
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — |
Cards
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds