Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-10-17 14:00
Aberdeen – St Mirren
Home
45%
2.21 fair
Draw
28%
3.54 fair
Away
26%
3.78 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Aberdeen – St Mirren
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Aberdeen – St Mirren
Expected Goals2.24
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.539%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
44.3%
→
45.3%
+0.9 pp
Draw
28.8%
→
28.3%
-0.5 pp
Away
26.9%
→
26.5%
-0.4 pp
Over 2.5
38.7%
→
38.8%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
44.2%
→
44.3%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.23 →
2.24
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — |
Both halves
| 11.4% | 8.75 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.06 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.31 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.92 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.48 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.48 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — |
Total goals
| 89.3% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.27 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
Away team goals
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — |
Both to score
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — |
Corners
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Home corners
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — |
Away corners
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — |
Cards
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds