Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / EPL / 2026-09-13 14:00

Coventry Brighton

Home 24% 4.24 fair
Draw 25% 4.03 fair
Away 52% 1.94 fair
Expected Goals2.67
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.550%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.67
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 9.29 no edge over baseline
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.11 model adds signal (+0.7%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

23.6% 4.24 25.2% 3.80
24.8% 4.03 24.5% 3.90
51.6% 1.94 50.3% 1.90
48.4% 2.07
76.4% 1.31
75.2% 1.33

Half-time result

26.5% 3.78
36.8% 2.72
36.8% 2.72

Half-time double chance

63.2% 1.58
73.5% 1.36
63.2% 1.58

Both halves

4.2% 23.92

HT/FT

17.1% 5.85
6.4% 15.62
5.8% 17.33
15.0% 6.65
16.0% 6.26
3.4% 29.59
32.7% 3.06

HT/FT double chance

44.3% 2.26
41.8% 2.39
40.4% 2.48
27.6% 3.63
53.4% 1.87
45.4% 2.2
24.9% 4.02
55.1% 1.81
67.1% 1.49

Total goals

93.1% 1.07
74.6% 1.34
49.6% 2.02 54.8% 1.73
28.0% 3.57
25.4% 3.93
50.4% 1.98 45.2% 2.10
72.0% 1.39

1st-half goals

77.0% 1.3
43.4% 2.31

Home team goals

64.0% 1.56
27.4% 3.65

Away team goals

80.8% 1.24
48.6% 2.06

Both to score

51.6% 1.94

Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

67.2% 1.49
56.1% 1.78
45.4% 2.2
35.0% 2.86
26.1% 3.84
43.9% 2.28
54.6% 1.83
65.0% 1.54
73.9% 1.35

Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

66.5% 1.5
50.8% 1.97
36.3% 2.76

Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

62.0% 1.61
45.2% 2.21
31.2% 3.21

Cards

72.4% 1.38
54.6% 1.83
38.1% 2.62
24.8% 4.03
45.4% 2.21
61.9% 1.62
75.2% 1.33

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds