Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / EPL / 2026-09-13 14:00

Coventry – Brighton

Home 24% 4.24 fair
Draw 25% 4.03 fair
Away 52% 1.94 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Coventry – Brighton
FINAL Actual Result 0–5 Coventry – Brighton
Expected Goals2.67
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.550%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 2.67
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.29 no edge over baseline
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.11 model adds signal (+0.7%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

23.6% 4.24 25.2% 3.80
24.8% 4.03 24.5% 3.90
51.6% 1.94 50.3% 1.90
48.4% 2.07 —
76.4% 1.31 —
75.2% 1.33 —

Half-time result

26.5% 3.78 —
36.8% 2.72 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Half-time double chance

63.2% 1.58 —
73.5% 1.36 —
63.2% 1.58 —

Both halves

4.2% 23.92 —

HT/FT

17.1% 5.85 —
6.4% 15.62 —
5.8% 17.33 —
15.0% 6.65 —
16.0% 6.26 —
3.4% 29.59 —
32.7% 3.06 —

HT/FT double chance

44.3% 2.26 —
41.8% 2.39 —
40.4% 2.48 —
27.6% 3.63 —
53.4% 1.87 —
45.4% 2.2 —
24.9% 4.02 —
55.1% 1.81 —
67.1% 1.49 —

Total goals

93.1% 1.07 —
74.6% 1.34 —
49.6% 2.02 54.8% 1.73
28.0% 3.57 —
25.4% 3.93 —
50.4% 1.98 45.2% 2.10
72.0% 1.39 —

1st-half goals

77.0% 1.3 —
43.4% 2.31 —

Home team goals

64.0% 1.56 —
27.4% 3.65 —

Away team goals

80.8% 1.24 —
48.6% 2.06 —

Both to score

51.6% 1.94 —

Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

67.2% 1.49 —
56.1% 1.78 —
45.4% 2.2 —
35.0% 2.86 —
26.1% 3.84 —
43.9% 2.28 —
54.6% 1.83 —
65.0% 1.54 —
73.9% 1.35 —

Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

66.5% 1.5 —
50.8% 1.97 —
36.3% 2.76 —

Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

62.0% 1.61 —
45.2% 2.21 —
31.2% 3.21 —

Cards

72.4% 1.38 —
54.6% 1.83 —
38.1% 2.62 —
24.8% 4.03 —
45.4% 2.21 —
61.9% 1.62 —
75.2% 1.33 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds