Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-11-08 20:30
Estrela – Benfica
Home
8%
13.3 fair
Draw
14%
6.98 fair
Away
78%
1.28 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-2
Estrela – Benfica
FINAL
Actual Result
2–3
Estrela – Benfica
Expected Goals3.38
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.566%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
8.6%
→
7.5%
-1.1 pp
Draw
14.7%
→
14.3%
-0.4 pp
Away
76.7%
→
78.1%
+1.4 pp
Over 2.5
66.8%
→
65.5%
-1.2 pp
Both teams to score
51.1%
→
48.1%
-3.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.45 →
3.38
-0.07
Most Likely Score
0-2
→
0-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 7.5% | 13.3 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.98 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 92.5% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — |
Half-time result
| 8.2% | 12.12 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.67 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 39.9% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 91.8% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — |
HT/FT
| 3.2% | 31.25 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 28.01 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.92 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.57 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.11 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.16 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 87.4% | 1.14 | — |
Total goals
| 96.5% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 85.1% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.7 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — |
Home team goals
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.01 | — |
Away team goals
| 92.8% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
Both to score
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — |
Corners
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.68 | — |
Away corners
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — |
Cards
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds