Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-11-08 18:00
Guimaraes – Porto
Home
15%
6.87 fair
Draw
24%
4.18 fair
Away
62%
1.62 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Guimaraes – Porto
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Guimaraes – Porto
Expected Goals2.32
Both teams to score39%
Over 2.541%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
14.4%
→
14.6%
+0.2 pp
Draw
23.4%
→
23.9%
+0.5 pp
Away
62.2%
→
61.5%
-0.6 pp
Over 2.5
42.2%
→
41.3%
-0.9 pp
Both teams to score
40.0%
→
39.2%
-0.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.36 →
2.32
-0.04
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 14.6% | 6.87 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 11.9% | 8.37 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — |
HT/FT
| 6.7% | 14.84 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 31.85 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.37 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.92 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.84 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.84 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — |
Total goals
| 89.9% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.89 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — |
Home team goals
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.05 | — |
Away team goals
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — |
Both to score
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — |
Corners
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
Home corners
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — |
Away corners
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — |
Cards
| 87.2% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds