Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-11-07 20:30
Sp Lisbon – Moreirense
Home
82%
1.22 fair
Draw
12%
8.5 fair
Away
6%
15.62 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Sp Lisbon – Moreirense
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Sp Lisbon – Moreirense
Expected Goals3.57
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.569%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
82.7%
→
81.8%
-0.8 pp
Draw
11.4%
→
11.8%
+0.3 pp
Away
5.9%
→
6.4%
+0.5 pp
Over 2.5
69.2%
→
69.2%
-0.1 pp
Both teams to score
46.1%
→
47.2%
+1.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.58 →
3.57
-0.01
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.5 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.62 | — | |||
| 93.6% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.5 | — | |||
| 88.2% | 1.13 | — |
Half-time result
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.81 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 90.7% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — |
Both halves
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
HT/FT
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.64 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.33 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 30.96 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.03 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 8.7% | 11.55 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.57 | — |
Total goals
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.78 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — |
Home team goals
| 94.4% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — |
Away team goals
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.53 | — |
Both to score
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — |
Corners
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — |
Away corners
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.53 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.46 | — |
Cards
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds