Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-11-07 18:00
Alverca – Casa Pia
Home
50%
2.02 fair
Draw
27%
3.76 fair
Away
24%
4.21 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Alverca – Casa Pia
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Alverca – Casa Pia
Expected Goals2.32
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.541%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
47.6%
→
49.6%
+2.0 pp
Draw
27.2%
→
26.6%
-0.6 pp
Away
25.1%
→
23.8%
-1.3 pp
Over 2.5
42.4%
→
41.2%
-1.2 pp
Both teams to score
46.6%
→
44.5%
-2.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.37 →
2.32
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.5% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.75 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — |
Both halves
| 13.9% | 7.2 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.68 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.58 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.69 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.59 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — |
Total goals
| 89.9% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — |
Away team goals
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — |
Both to score
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — |
Corners
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
Away corners
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.8 | — |
Cards
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds