Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-11-06 20:45
Famalicao – Arouca
Home
46%
2.17 fair
Draw
27%
3.75 fair
Away
27%
3.67 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Famalicao – Arouca
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Famalicao – Arouca
Expected Goals2.45
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.8%
→
46.1%
-2.6 pp
Draw
26.3%
→
26.7%
+0.3 pp
Away
24.9%
→
27.2%
+2.3 pp
Over 2.5
44.3%
→
44.2%
-0.1 pp
Both teams to score
47.8%
→
48.9%
+1.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.45 →
2.45
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.96 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
Both halves
| 12.4% | 8.07 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.87 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.65 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.9 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.78 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.41 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.35 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — |
Total goals
| 91.5% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
Both to score
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — |
Corners
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
Home corners
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — |
Away corners
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — |
Cards
| 89.9% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds