Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-11-02 20:15
Benfica – Alverca
Home
80%
1.24 fair
Draw
13%
7.9 fair
Away
7%
14.6 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Benfica – Alverca
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Benfica – Alverca
Expected Goals3.46
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.567%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
82.1%
→
80.5%
-1.6 pp
Draw
12.0%
→
12.7%
+0.7 pp
Away
5.9%
→
6.9%
+1.0 pp
Over 2.5
67.8%
→
66.9%
-0.8 pp
Both teams to score
45.0%
→
46.6%
+1.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.49 →
3.46
-0.03
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.9 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.6 | — | |||
| 93.2% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 87.3% | 1.14 | — |
Half-time result
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.29 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 91.9% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — |
Both halves
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — |
HT/FT
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 7.7% | 13.05 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 30.86 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 88.2% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.11 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.25 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.22 | — |
Total goals
| 96.8% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 7.01 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Home team goals
| 93.5% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — |
Away team goals
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.72 | — |
Both to score
| 46.6% | 2.14 | — |
Corners
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 87.0% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — |
Away corners
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.6 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 10.96 | — |
Cards
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds