Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-11-01 15:30
Arouca – Nacional
Home
49%
2.05 fair
Draw
25%
3.97 fair
Away
26%
3.84 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Arouca – Nacional
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Arouca – Nacional
Expected Goals2.64
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
49.8%
→
48.8%
-1.0 pp
Draw
25.0%
→
25.2%
+0.2 pp
Away
25.2%
→
26.0%
+0.8 pp
Over 2.5
50.0%
→
49.3%
-0.8 pp
Both teams to score
52.9%
→
51.8%
-1.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.69 →
2.64
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — |
Both halves
| 14.6% | 6.87 | — |
HT/FT
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.79 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.23 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.62 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.92 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.98 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.13 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — |
Total goals
| 93.0% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
Both to score
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — |
Corners
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — |
Away corners
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — |
Cards
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.55 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds