Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-31 15:30
Moreirense – Estrela
Home
46%
2.18 fair
Draw
26%
3.86 fair
Away
28%
3.55 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Moreirense – Estrela
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Moreirense – Estrela
Expected Goals2.57
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
44.5%
→
46.0%
+1.5 pp
Draw
26.2%
→
25.9%
-0.3 pp
Away
29.3%
→
28.1%
-1.2 pp
Over 2.5
48.2%
→
47.1%
-1.1 pp
Both teams to score
52.8%
→
51.1%
-1.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.62 →
2.57
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 41.2% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.05 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 12.4% | 8.07 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.27 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.59 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.39 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.46 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.67 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.38 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Total goals
| 92.3% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — |
Both to score
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — |
Corners
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.12 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — |
Home corners
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Away corners
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — |
Cards
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds