Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-30 20:15
Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon
Home
7%
14.41 fair
Draw
14%
7.28 fair
Away
79%
1.26 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-2
Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon
FINAL
Actual Result
0–2
Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals3.33
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.565%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
7.0%
→
6.9%
-0.0 pp
Draw
13.2%
→
13.7%
+0.6 pp
Away
79.8%
→
79.3%
-0.5 pp
Over 2.5
65.0%
→
64.9%
-0.2 pp
Both teams to score
45.3%
→
46.0%
+0.6 pp
Expected Goals
3.35 →
3.33
-0.02
Most Likely Score
0-2
→
0-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 6.9% | 14.41 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.28 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — | |||
| 93.0% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — |
Half-time result
| 8.5% | 11.76 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 91.5% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
HT/FT
| 3.2% | 31.15 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.35 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.88 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 17.3% | 5.78 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 11.0 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.67 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 87.8% | 1.14 | — |
Total goals
| 96.3% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.43 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — |
Home team goals
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.89 | — |
Away team goals
| 92.8% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
Both to score
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — |
Corners
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — |
Home corners
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.9 | — |
Away corners
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — |
Cards
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds