Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-26 18:45
Santa Clara – Benfica
Home
15%
6.87 fair
Draw
24%
4.25 fair
Away
62%
1.62 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Santa Clara – Benfica
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Santa Clara – Benfica
Expected Goals2.43
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
14.6%
→
14.6%
-0.1 pp
Draw
23.1%
→
23.5%
+0.4 pp
Away
62.3%
→
61.9%
-0.4 pp
Over 2.5
45.6%
→
43.9%
-1.7 pp
Both teams to score
43.5%
→
42.0%
-1.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.49 →
2.43
-0.06
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 14.6% | 6.87 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 12.3% | 8.1 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — |
HT/FT
| 7.3% | 13.76 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.4 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.75 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.35 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.71 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.27 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.25 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.24 | — |
Total goals
| 91.1% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — |
Home team goals
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.28 | — |
Away team goals
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — |
Both to score
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — |
Corners
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.81 | — |
Away corners
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — |
Cards
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds