Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-25 18:00
Nacional – Sp Braga
Home
19%
5.22 fair
Draw
23%
4.38 fair
Away
58%
1.72 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Nacional – Sp Braga
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Nacional – Sp Braga
Expected Goals2.81
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
18.5%
→
19.1%
+0.6 pp
Draw
23.0%
→
22.8%
-0.2 pp
Away
58.5%
→
58.0%
-0.4 pp
Over 2.5
51.1%
→
53.2%
+2.1 pp
Both teams to score
49.6%
→
52.1%
+2.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.71 →
2.81
+0.1
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 19.1% | 5.22 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 13.9% | 7.22 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 86.1% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — |
Both halves
| 3.2% | 30.77 | — |
HT/FT
| 9.2% | 10.86 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.05 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.52 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.46 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.13 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.9 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.86 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Total goals
| 94.0% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.47 | — |
Home team goals
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.3% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — |
Both to score
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
Corners
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — |
Away corners
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — |
Cards
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds