Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-24 19:30
Gil Vicente – Porto
Home
15%
6.69 fair
Draw
25%
4.0 fair
Away
60%
1.67 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Gil Vicente – Porto
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Gil Vicente – Porto
Expected Goals2.23
Both teams to score38%
Over 2.539%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
14.4%
→
14.9%
+0.6 pp
Draw
24.7%
→
25.0%
+0.3 pp
Away
61.0%
→
60.0%
-0.9 pp
Over 2.5
38.9%
→
38.6%
-0.3 pp
Both teams to score
37.6%
→
38.2%
+0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.25 →
2.23
-0.02
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 14.9% | 6.69 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 14.7% | 6.81 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 85.3% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — |
HT/FT
| 8.1% | 12.41 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.15 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.85 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.66 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.15 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.25 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — |
Total goals
| 89.1% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.42 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — |
1st-half goals
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — |
Home team goals
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.29 | — |
Away team goals
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — |
Both to score
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — |
Corners
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.49 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — |
Away corners
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — |
Cards
| 84.3% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds