Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-24 14:30
Estrela – Casa Pia
Home
46%
2.19 fair
Draw
27%
3.69 fair
Away
27%
3.66 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Estrela – Casa Pia
FINAL
Actual Result
0–2
Estrela – Casa Pia
Expected Goals2.44
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
46.4%
→
45.6%
-0.8 pp
Draw
26.5%
→
27.1%
+0.7 pp
Away
27.2%
→
27.3%
+0.2 pp
Over 2.5
45.9%
→
44.3%
-1.7 pp
Both teams to score
50.0%
→
48.9%
-1.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.52 →
2.44
-0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.96 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — |
Both halves
| 11.7% | 8.57 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.94 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.39 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.83 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.15 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.11 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.81 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.15 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Total goals
| 91.1% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — |
Both to score
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — |
Corners
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 73.3% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — |
Away corners
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — |
Cards
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds