Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-24 17:00
Alverca – Arouca
Home
39%
2.54 fair
Draw
25%
3.99 fair
Away
35%
2.82 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Alverca – Arouca
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Alverca – Arouca
Expected Goals2.81
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
36.4%
→
39.4%
+3.1 pp
Draw
26.3%
→
25.1%
-1.2 pp
Away
37.3%
→
35.5%
-1.9 pp
Over 2.5
51.3%
→
53.4%
+2.1 pp
Both teams to score
55.9%
→
56.9%
+1.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.74 →
2.81
+0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 10.4% | 9.62 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.8% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.38 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.3 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.38 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.72 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.76 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.88 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.75 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Total goals
| 93.6% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — |
Both to score
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
Corners
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Away corners
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.38 | — |
Cards
| 85.3% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds