Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-10-23 19:45
Guimaraes – Maritimo
Home
49%
2.05 fair
Draw
25%
3.92 fair
Away
26%
3.89 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Guimaraes – Maritimo
FINAL
Actual Result
5–0
Guimaraes – Maritimo
Expected Goals2.59
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.6%
→
48.8%
-1.8 pp
Draw
25.4%
→
25.5%
+0.1 pp
Away
24.1%
→
25.7%
+1.6 pp
Over 2.5
48.0%
→
48.0%
-0.0 pp
Both teams to score
50.7%
→
50.9%
+0.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.6 →
2.59
-0.01
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.85 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — |
Both halves
| 14.4% | 6.95 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.82 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.46 | — | |||
| 11.6% | 8.64 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.1 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.36 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.14 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — |
Total goals
| 92.4% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — |
Both to score
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — |
Corners
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — |
Away corners
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.22 | — |
Cards
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds