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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-21

Worthing – Harrogate

Home 43% 2.33 fair
Draw 20% 4.9 fair
Away 37% 2.73 fair
Expected Goals4.17
Most Likely Score2-2
Both teams to score77%
Over 2.578%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.7% → 43.0% -3.7 pp
Draw 18.6% → 20.4% +1.7 pp
Away 34.7% → 36.6% +2.0 pp
Over 2.5 85.2% → 78.3% -6.8 pp
Both teams to score 82.1% → 76.7% -5.4 pp
Expected Goals 4.75 → 4.17 -0.58
Most Likely Score 2-2 → 2-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.27 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.17 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.0% 2.33 —
20.4% 4.9 —
36.6% 2.73 —
63.4% 1.58 —
57.0% 1.75 —
79.6% 1.26 —

Half-time result

43.0% 2.33 —
29.9% 3.34 —
27.1% 3.69 —

Half-time double chance

72.9% 1.37 —
57.0% 1.75 —
70.1% 1.43 —

Both halves

13.4% 7.45 —

HT/FT

31.5% 3.18 —
7.1% 14.04 —
4.4% 22.62 —
9.2% 10.82 —
9.3% 10.79 —
11.4% 8.77 —
4.0% 25.0 —
20.8% 4.81 —

HT/FT double chance

57.1% 1.75 —
56.5% 1.77 —
32.2% 3.1 —
44.9% 2.23 —
59.0% 1.7 —
36.4% 2.75 —
24.8% 4.04 —
43.7% 2.29 —
45.5% 2.2 —

Total goals

91.9% 1.09 —
78.3% 1.28 —
59.9% 1.67 —
8.1% 12.3 —
21.6% 4.62 —
40.2% 2.49 —

1st-half goals

87.2% 1.15 —
61.8% 1.62 —

Home team goals

88.6% 1.13 —
63.5% 1.57 —

Away team goals

86.6% 1.15 —
59.4% 1.68 —

Both to score

76.7% 1.3 —

Corners

77.3% 1.29 —
67.0% 1.49 —
55.6% 1.8 —
44.5% 2.25 —
34.4% 2.91 —
33.0% 3.03 —
44.4% 2.25 —
55.5% 1.8 —
65.6% 1.52 —

Home corners

71.0% 1.41 —
54.3% 1.84 —
37.9% 2.64 —

Away corners

74.9% 1.34 —
58.5% 1.71 —
42.6% 2.35 —

Cards

75.0% 1.33 —
57.3% 1.75 —
39.5% 2.53 —
25.6% 3.91 —
42.7% 2.34 —
60.5% 1.65 —
74.4% 1.34 —

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