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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-21

Wealdstone – Hornchurch

Home 47% 2.12 fair
Draw 25% 4.05 fair
Away 28% 3.55 fair
Expected Goals2.83
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.554%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 35.1% → 47.2% +12.1 pp
Draw 26.1% → 24.7% -1.4 pp
Away 38.8% → 28.1% -10.7 pp
Over 2.5 50.7% → 53.5% +2.8 pp
Both teams to score 55.0% → 56.2% +1.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.71 → 2.83 +0.12
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.13 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.79 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.2% 2.12 —
24.7% 4.05 —
28.1% 3.55 —
71.9% 1.39 —
52.8% 1.89 —
75.3% 1.33 —

Half-time result

35.5% 2.82 —
42.4% 2.36 —
22.1% 4.52 —

Half-time double chance

77.9% 1.28 —
64.5% 1.55 —
57.6% 1.74 —

Both halves

13.6% 7.37 —

HT/FT

28.1% 3.55 —
5.3% 18.8 —
16.3% 6.15 —
14.6% 6.85 —
11.6% 8.64 —
4.8% 20.88 —
14.6% 6.87 —

HT/FT double chance

64.3% 1.55 —
58.0% 1.72 —
33.5% 2.99 —
41.0% 2.44 —
47.5% 2.11 —
26.7% 3.75 —
38.4% 2.6 —
45.1% 2.21 —
45.5% 2.2 —

Total goals

93.8% 1.07 —
77.4% 1.29 —
53.5% 1.87 —
31.3% 3.19 —
22.6% 4.42 —
46.5% 2.15 —
68.7% 1.46 —

1st-half goals

68.7% 1.45 —
32.6% 3.06 —

Home team goals

80.0% 1.25 —
48.5% 2.06 —

Away team goals

70.0% 1.43 —
33.9% 2.95 —

Both to score

56.2% 1.78 —

Corners

76.6% 1.31 —
65.9% 1.52 —
54.6% 1.83 —
43.1% 2.32 —
32.6% 3.07 —
34.1% 2.94 —
45.4% 2.2 —
56.9% 1.76 —
67.4% 1.48 —

Home corners

80.0% 1.25 —
66.6% 1.5 —
51.3% 1.95 —

Away corners

60.1% 1.66 —
42.5% 2.35 —
27.6% 3.63 —

Cards

69.4% 1.44 —
50.7% 1.97 —
33.2% 3.01 —
20.2% 4.95 —
49.3% 2.03 —
66.8% 1.5 —
79.8% 1.25 —

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