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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-21

Sutton – Boston Utd

Home 42% 2.38 fair
Draw 26% 3.87 fair
Away 32% 3.1 fair
Expected Goals2.69
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.550%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.0% → 41.9% +5.0 pp
Draw 25.6% → 25.8% +0.2 pp
Away 37.4% → 32.2% -5.1 pp
Over 2.5 50.0% → 50.3% +0.3 pp
Both teams to score 54.3% → 54.1% -0.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.67 → 2.69 +0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.69
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.26 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.68 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

41.9% 2.38 —
25.8% 3.87 —
32.2% 3.1 —
67.8% 1.48 —
58.1% 1.72 —
74.2% 1.35 —

Half-time result

30.2% 3.31 —
41.0% 2.44 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Half-time double chance

71.2% 1.4 —
69.8% 1.43 —
59.0% 1.69 —

Both halves

11.0% 9.12 —

HT/FT

23.9% 4.18 —
4.7% 21.28 —
15.0% 6.65 —
15.1% 6.62 —
10.8% 9.24 —
6.0% 16.67 —
19.8% 5.04 —

HT/FT double chance

58.8% 1.7 —
51.4% 1.95 —
32.2% 3.1 —
37.6% 2.66 —
48.3% 2.07 —
32.1% 3.11 —
39.1% 2.56 —
48.7% 2.05 —
51.8% 1.93 —

Total goals

93.2% 1.07 —
74.9% 1.34 —
50.3% 1.99 —
28.4% 3.52 —
25.1% 3.98 —
49.7% 2.01 —
71.6% 1.4 —

1st-half goals

71.2% 1.4 —
35.0% 2.85 —

Home team goals

76.3% 1.31 —
42.8% 2.34 —

Away team goals

70.9% 1.41 —
35.4% 2.82 —

Both to score

54.1% 1.85 —

Corners

77.8% 1.28 —
67.4% 1.48 —
55.5% 1.8 —
44.4% 2.25 —
33.9% 2.95 —
32.6% 3.07 —
44.5% 2.25 —
55.6% 1.8 —
66.1% 1.51 —

Home corners

81.3% 1.23 —
67.7% 1.48 —
52.8% 1.89 —

Away corners

61.1% 1.64 —
43.2% 2.31 —
27.8% 3.6 —

Cards

80.5% 1.24 —
65.3% 1.53 —
48.3% 2.07 —
33.7% 2.97 —
34.6% 2.89 —
51.7% 1.93 —
66.3% 1.51 —

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