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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-21

Gateshead – Hartlepool

Home 36% 2.76 fair
Draw 26% 3.88 fair
Away 38% 2.63 fair
Expected Goals2.75
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.8% → 36.2% -2.6 pp
Draw 25.8% → 25.8% +0.0 pp
Away 35.4% → 38.0% +2.6 pp
Over 2.5 51.0% → 51.8% +0.8 pp
Both teams to score 55.5% → 55.9% +0.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.73 → 2.75 +0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.75
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.33 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.45 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.2% 2.76 —
25.8% 3.88 —
38.0% 2.63 —
62.0% 1.61 —
63.8% 1.57 —
74.2% 1.35 —

Half-time result

30.1% 3.32 —
43.3% 2.31 —
26.6% 3.76 —

Half-time double chance

73.4% 1.36 —
69.9% 1.43 —
56.7% 1.76 —

Both halves

9.1% 11.04 —

HT/FT

21.3% 4.69 —
5.9% 16.81 —
13.1% 7.66 —
15.1% 6.62 —
15.1% 6.61 —
4.7% 21.14 —
20.1% 4.98 —

HT/FT double chance

55.4% 1.8 —
52.3% 1.91 —
39.0% 2.57 —
33.8% 2.96 —
46.1% 2.17 —
33.6% 2.98 —
34.7% 2.88 —
50.1% 2.0 —
55.0% 1.82 —

Total goals

93.7% 1.07 —
76.1% 1.31 —
51.8% 1.93 —
29.9% 3.34 —
23.9% 4.18 —
48.2% 2.07 —
70.1% 1.43 —

1st-half goals

68.2% 1.47 —
32.0% 3.13 —

Home team goals

74.5% 1.34 —
39.2% 2.55 —

Away team goals

75.1% 1.33 —
40.7% 2.46 —

Both to score

55.9% 1.79 —

Corners

69.1% 1.45 —
57.1% 1.75 —
45.1% 2.22 —
33.9% 2.95 —
24.4% 4.1 —
42.9% 2.33 —
54.9% 1.82 —
66.1% 1.51 —
75.6% 1.32 —

Home corners

71.0% 1.41 —
54.2% 1.84 —
38.3% 2.61 —

Away corners

61.1% 1.64 —
43.1% 2.32 —
27.9% 3.58 —

Cards

64.3% 1.56 —
43.8% 2.28 —
27.4% 3.65 —
15.2% 6.58 —
56.2% 1.78 —
72.6% 1.38 —
84.8% 1.18 —

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