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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-21

Aldershot – Scunthorpe

Home 41% 2.45 fair
Draw 23% 4.42 fair
Away 37% 2.74 fair
Expected Goals3.29
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.564%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.7% → 40.9% +3.2 pp
Draw 23.0% → 22.6% -0.4 pp
Away 39.3% → 36.5% -2.7 pp
Over 2.5 62.7% → 64.0% +1.3 pp
Both teams to score 64.0% → 64.9% +0.9 pp
Expected Goals 3.24 → 3.29 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.26 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.5 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

40.9% 2.45 —
22.6% 4.42 —
36.5% 2.74 —
63.5% 1.58 —
59.1% 1.69 —
77.4% 1.29 —

Half-time result

36.7% 2.73 —
35.0% 2.86 —
28.3% 3.53 —

Half-time double chance

71.7% 1.4 —
63.3% 1.58 —
65.0% 1.54 —

Both halves

11.9% 8.43 —

HT/FT

27.7% 3.61 —
5.8% 17.15 —
3.2% 31.35 —
10.9% 9.17 —
11.9% 8.41 —
12.2% 8.21 —
4.9% 20.49 —
21.1% 4.73 —

HT/FT double chance

56.3% 1.78 —
53.9% 1.85 —
33.1% 3.02 —
40.7% 2.46 —
54.3% 1.84 —
35.0% 2.85 —
30.0% 3.34 —
46.5% 2.15 —
50.1% 2.0 —

Total goals

96.3% 1.04 —
84.0% 1.19 —
64.0% 1.56 —
41.6% 2.4 —
16.0% 6.25 —
36.0% 2.78 —
58.4% 1.71 —

1st-half goals

80.2% 1.25 —
48.1% 2.08 —

Home team goals

81.4% 1.23 —
50.4% 1.98 —

Away team goals

79.8% 1.25 —
47.2% 2.12 —

Both to score

64.9% 1.54 —

Corners

77.7% 1.29 —
67.4% 1.48 —
56.4% 1.77 —
44.8% 2.23 —
34.3% 2.91 —
32.6% 3.07 —
43.6% 2.29 —
55.2% 1.81 —
65.7% 1.52 —

Home corners

75.0% 1.33 —
59.7% 1.68 —
43.9% 2.28 —

Away corners

69.9% 1.43 —
53.1% 1.88 —
36.9% 2.71 —

Cards

78.7% 1.27 —
62.6% 1.6 —
45.6% 2.19 —
30.5% 3.28 —
37.4% 2.67 —
54.4% 1.84 —
69.5% 1.44 —

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