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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-14

Southend – Aldershot

Home 65% 1.53 fair
Draw 19% 5.34 fair
Away 16% 6.29 fair
Expected Goals3.35
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.565%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 65.7% → 65.4% -0.3 pp
Draw 18.8% → 18.7% -0.1 pp
Away 15.5% → 15.9% +0.4 pp
Over 2.5 62.3% → 64.7% +2.4 pp
Both teams to score 56.2% → 58.7% +2.6 pp
Expected Goals 3.23 → 3.35 +0.12
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.58 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.23 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

65.4% 1.53 —
18.7% 5.34 —
15.9% 6.29 —
84.1% 1.19 —
34.6% 2.89 —
81.3% 1.23 —

Half-time result

58.1% 1.72 —
30.6% 3.26 —
11.2% 8.9 —

Half-time double chance

88.8% 1.13 —
41.9% 2.39 —
69.4% 1.44 —

Both halves

25.4% 3.93 —

HT/FT

49.9% 2.0 —
6.0% 16.53 —
13.7% 7.29 —
10.0% 9.97 —
6.9% 14.49 —
6.8% 14.71 —

HT/FT double chance

79.7% 1.26 —
72.7% 1.38 —
25.2% 3.97 —
60.4% 1.66 —
60.7% 1.65 —
17.7% 5.65 —
28.2% 3.55 —
29.2% 3.43 —
26.4% 3.79 —

Total goals

96.4% 1.04 —
84.4% 1.18 —
64.7% 1.55 —
42.7% 2.34 —
15.6% 6.41 —
35.3% 2.83 —
57.3% 1.75 —

1st-half goals

79.6% 1.26 —
47.6% 2.1 —

Home team goals

90.0% 1.11 —
66.7% 1.5 —

Away team goals

65.2% 1.53 —
28.2% 3.55 —

Both to score

58.7% 1.7 —

Corners

80.1% 1.25 —
70.3% 1.42 —
59.3% 1.69 —
48.1% 2.08 —
37.5% 2.67 —
29.7% 3.36 —
40.7% 2.46 —
51.9% 1.93 —
62.5% 1.6 —

Home corners

86.4% 1.16 —
75.2% 1.33 —
61.5% 1.63 —

Away corners

55.5% 1.8 —
37.5% 2.66 —
23.1% 4.34 —

Cards

75.6% 1.32 —
58.2% 1.72 —
41.0% 2.44 —
26.6% 3.76 —
41.8% 2.39 —
59.0% 1.7 —
73.4% 1.36 —

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