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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-14

Scunthorpe – Worthing

Home 34% 2.93 fair
Draw 21% 4.68 fair
Away 44% 2.25 fair
Expected Goals3.8
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score72%
Over 2.573%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 41.0% → 34.1% -6.9 pp
Draw 21.9% → 21.4% -0.5 pp
Away 37.1% → 44.5% +7.4 pp
Over 2.5 71.5% → 73.1% +1.6 pp
Both teams to score 70.9% → 71.9% +1.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.71 → 3.8 +0.09
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.76 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.19 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

34.1% 2.93 —
21.4% 4.68 —
44.5% 2.25 —
55.5% 1.8 —
65.9% 1.52 —
78.6% 1.27 —

Half-time result

26.9% 3.71 —
32.0% 3.12 —
41.0% 2.44 —

Half-time double chance

59.0% 1.7 —
73.1% 1.37 —
68.0% 1.47 —

Both halves

9.5% 10.56 —

HT/FT

19.7% 5.07 —
4.7% 21.41 —
10.8% 9.22 —
10.4% 9.61 —
10.8% 9.29 —
3.6% 28.01 —
6.3% 15.87 —
31.2% 3.21 —

HT/FT double chance

45.6% 2.19 —
43.9% 2.28 —
28.4% 3.52 —
34.3% 2.92 —
57.0% 1.75 —
44.7% 2.24 —
31.1% 3.21 —
56.4% 1.77 —
58.7% 1.7 —

Total goals

89.0% 1.12 —
73.1% 1.37 —
52.6% 1.9 —
10.9% 9.13 —
26.9% 3.72 —
47.4% 2.11 —

1st-half goals

84.2% 1.19 —
55.4% 1.8 —

Home team goals

82.6% 1.21 —
52.9% 1.89 —

Away team goals

86.8% 1.15 —
60.3% 1.66 —

Both to score

71.9% 1.39 —

Corners

81.2% 1.23 —
71.7% 1.39 —
61.0% 1.64 —
49.9% 2.0 —
39.5% 2.53 —
28.3% 3.54 —
39.0% 2.57 —
50.1% 2.0 —
60.6% 1.65 —

Home corners

87.7% 1.14 —
77.0% 1.3 —
63.6% 1.57 —

Away corners

55.8% 1.79 —
37.5% 2.67 —
23.2% 4.31 —

Cards

74.9% 1.33 —
57.2% 1.75 —
40.2% 2.49 —
26.4% 3.79 —
42.8% 2.34 —
59.8% 1.67 —
73.6% 1.36 —

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