Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-14
Hornchurch – Tamworth
Home
37%
2.67 fair
Draw
24%
4.14 fair
Away
38%
2.61 fair
Expected Goals2.88
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
49.4%
→
37.5%
-12.0 pp
Draw
24.0%
→
24.1%
+0.1 pp
Away
26.5%
→
38.4%
+11.8 pp
Over 2.5
55.5%
→
55.3%
-0.3 pp
Both teams to score
57.2%
→
58.1%
+0.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.91 →
2.88
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.14 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — |
Both halves
| 9.6% | 10.42 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.8% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.83 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.36 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.53 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.19 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.82 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.28 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.84 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — |
Total goals
| 94.5% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — |
Both to score
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Corners
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — |
Home corners
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — |
Away corners
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — |
Cards
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds