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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-14

Hartlepool – Wealdstone

Home 42% 2.36 fair
Draw 25% 4.0 fair
Away 33% 3.07 fair
Expected Goals2.84
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.554%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.5% → 42.4% -0.1 pp
Draw 25.6% → 25.0% -0.6 pp
Away 31.9% → 32.6% +0.7 pp
Over 2.5 50.6% → 53.9% +3.3 pp
Both teams to score 54.6% → 57.0% +2.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.69 → 2.84 +0.15
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.53 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.83 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.4% 2.36 —
25.0% 4.0 —
32.6% 3.07 —
67.4% 1.48 —
57.6% 1.74 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Half-time result

33.9% 2.95 —
43.3% 2.31 —
22.9% 4.37 —

Half-time double chance

77.1% 1.3 —
66.1% 1.51 —
56.7% 1.76 —

Both halves

11.6% 8.66 —

HT/FT

25.1% 3.99 —
6.0% 16.67 —
15.1% 6.63 —
14.4% 6.93 —
13.8% 7.26 —
4.5% 22.08 —
16.1% 6.23 —

HT/FT double chance

60.6% 1.65 —
56.7% 1.76 —
37.0% 2.7 —
37.9% 2.64 —
46.2% 2.17 —
29.4% 3.41 —
36.3% 2.75 —
47.2% 2.12 —
48.8% 2.05 —

Total goals

94.1% 1.06 —
77.5% 1.29 —
53.9% 1.85 —
31.7% 3.16 —
22.5% 4.44 —
46.1% 2.17 —
68.3% 1.46 —

1st-half goals

67.1% 1.49 —
30.2% 3.31 —

Home team goals

78.2% 1.28 —
45.2% 2.21 —

Away team goals

73.0% 1.37 —
37.9% 2.64 —

Both to score

57.0% 1.75 —

Corners

71.1% 1.41 —
59.4% 1.68 —
47.4% 2.11 —
36.0% 2.77 —
26.5% 3.77 —
40.6% 2.46 —
52.6% 1.9 —
63.9% 1.56 —
73.5% 1.36 —

Home corners

70.9% 1.41 —
54.0% 1.85 —
37.8% 2.64 —

Away corners

64.2% 1.56 —
46.2% 2.16 —
30.6% 3.27 —

Cards

70.4% 1.42 —
51.1% 1.96 —
33.8% 2.96 —
20.4% 4.89 —
48.9% 2.04 —
66.2% 1.51 —
79.5% 1.26 —

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