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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-14

Harrogate – Altrincham

Home 57% 1.74 fair
Draw 21% 4.88 fair
Away 22% 4.52 fair
Expected Goals3.45
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.566%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.1% → 57.4% +7.3 pp
Draw 20.9% → 20.5% -0.4 pp
Away 29.0% → 22.1% -6.9 pp
Over 2.5 71.7% → 66.4% -5.3 pp
Both teams to score 70.4% → 64.1% -6.3 pp
Expected Goals 3.72 → 3.45 -0.27
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.59 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.34 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

57.4% 1.74 —
20.5% 4.88 —
22.1% 4.52 —
77.9% 1.28 —
42.6% 2.35 —
79.5% 1.26 —

Half-time result

37.4% 2.67 —
33.6% 2.97 —
28.9% 3.46 —

Half-time double chance

71.1% 1.41 —
62.6% 1.6 —
66.4% 1.51 —

Both halves

20.1% 4.97 —

HT/FT

33.5% 2.98 —
3.1% 32.36 —
18.1% 5.51 —
10.3% 9.72 —
5.2% 19.19 —
5.7% 17.48 —
7.1% 14.03 —
16.1% 6.22 —

HT/FT double chance

65.0% 1.54 —
57.7% 1.73 —
19.4% 5.15 —
49.5% 2.02 —
56.1% 1.78 —
27.1% 3.69 —
41.3% 2.42 —
45.1% 2.22 —
38.7% 2.58 —

Total goals

96.7% 1.03 —
85.7% 1.17 —
66.4% 1.51 —
44.9% 2.23 —
14.3% 6.98 —
33.6% 2.98 —
55.1% 1.81 —

1st-half goals

82.3% 1.21 —
52.2% 1.92 —

Home team goals

88.2% 1.13 —
63.5% 1.57 —

Away team goals

72.6% 1.38 —
36.9% 2.71 —

Both to score

64.1% 1.56 —

Corners

71.7% 1.39 —
60.0% 1.67 —
48.0% 2.08 —
36.6% 2.73 —
27.0% 3.7 —
40.0% 2.5 —
51.9% 1.92 —
63.4% 1.58 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Home corners

71.8% 1.39 —
55.5% 1.8 —
39.3% 2.55 —

Away corners

64.1% 1.56 —
46.4% 2.15 —
30.7% 3.25 —

Cards

77.1% 1.3 —
60.0% 1.67 —
42.5% 2.35 —
28.1% 3.56 —
40.0% 2.5 —
57.5% 1.74 —
71.9% 1.39 —

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