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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-14

Gateshead – Barrow

Home 22% 4.48 fair
Draw 22% 4.56 fair
Away 56% 1.79 fair
Expected Goals3.03
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.8% → 22.3% -12.5 pp
Draw 26.8% → 21.9% -4.8 pp
Away 38.4% → 55.8% +17.3 pp
Over 2.5 47.9% → 58.4% +10.5 pp
Both teams to score 53.3% → 57.1% +3.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.6 → 3.03 +0.43
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.46 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.54 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

22.3% 4.48 —
21.9% 4.56 —
55.8% 1.79 —
44.2% 2.26 —
77.7% 1.29 —
78.1% 1.28 —

Half-time result

21.3% 4.7 —
51.8% 1.93 —
26.9% 3.72 —

Half-time double chance

73.1% 1.37 —
78.7% 1.27 —
48.2% 2.08 —

Both halves

4.1% 24.63 —

HT/FT

10.7% 9.33 —
5.1% 19.42 —
5.4% 18.48 —
10.2% 9.83 —
13.8% 7.26 —
27.9% 3.59 —
22.5% 4.45 —

HT/FT double chance

39.8% 2.51 —
54.2% 1.85 —
52.2% 1.92 —
20.3% 4.93 —
40.0% 2.5 —
36.0% 2.78 —
28.4% 3.52 —
61.9% 1.61 —
67.1% 1.49 —

Total goals

95.2% 1.05 —
80.2% 1.25 —
58.4% 1.71 —
35.9% 2.79 —
19.8% 5.05 —
41.6% 2.41 —
64.1% 1.56 —

1st-half goals

55.1% 1.81 —
18.5% 5.42 —

Home team goals

67.3% 1.49 —
31.0% 3.23 —

Away team goals

85.0% 1.18 —
56.7% 1.76 —

Both to score

57.1% 1.75 —

Corners

70.2% 1.43 —
58.5% 1.71 —
46.8% 2.14 —
35.8% 2.79 —
26.0% 3.84 —
41.5% 2.41 —
53.2% 1.88 —
64.2% 1.56 —
74.0% 1.35 —

Home corners

62.2% 1.61 —
44.1% 2.27 —
28.6% 3.49 —

Away corners

71.5% 1.4 —
55.6% 1.8 —
39.1% 2.56 —

Cards

79.3% 1.26 —
63.4% 1.58 —
46.4% 2.16 —
31.3% 3.2 —
36.6% 2.74 —
53.6% 1.86 —
68.7% 1.45 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds