Fixtures / National League / 2026-10-27 19:45
Worthing – Southend
Home
46%
2.16 fair
Draw
23%
4.43 fair
Away
31%
3.21 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Worthing – Southend
FINAL
Actual Result
3–3
Worthing – Southend
Expected Goals3.27
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
35.1%
→
46.3%
+11.2 pp
Draw
23.3%
→
22.6%
-0.7 pp
Away
41.6%
→
31.1%
-10.5 pp
Over 2.5
64.5%
→
63.2%
-1.3 pp
Both teams to score
65.5%
→
63.7%
-1.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.31 →
3.27
-0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.66 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 14.3% | 6.99 | — |
HT/FT
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.21 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.99 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.1 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.28 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.82 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.04 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.7 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — |
Total goals
| 96.3% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.06 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.9% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — |
Both to score
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — |
Corners
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — |
Away corners
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.13 | — |
Cards
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds