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Fixtures / National League / 2026-10-27 19:45

Hornchurch – Yeovil

Home 38% 2.61 fair
Draw 27% 3.65 fair
Away 34% 2.92 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Hornchurch – Yeovil
FINAL Actual Result 1–2 Hornchurch – Yeovil
Expected Goals2.41
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 49.5% → 38.4% -11.1 pp
Draw 25.9% → 27.4% +1.5 pp
Away 24.6% → 34.2% +9.6 pp
Over 2.5 43.9% → 43.2% -0.6 pp
Both teams to score 47.2% → 48.7% +1.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.43 → 2.41 -0.02
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.61 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.78 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.4% 2.61 —
27.4% 3.65 —
34.2% 2.92 —
65.8% 1.52 —
61.7% 1.62 —
72.6% 1.38 —

Half-time result

25.2% 3.96 —
49.2% 2.03 —
25.5% 3.92 —

Half-time double chance

74.5% 1.34 —
74.8% 1.34 —
50.8% 1.97 —

Both halves

9.1% 11.03 —

HT/FT

19.1% 5.24 —
4.4% 22.83 —
17.0% 5.87 —
18.0% 5.57 —
14.2% 7.02 —
5.1% 19.65 —
18.2% 5.49 —

HT/FT double chance

58.5% 1.71 —
52.1% 1.92 —
38.4% 2.61 —
30.8% 3.25 —
41.3% 2.42 —
29.4% 3.4 —
42.3% 2.36 —
51.7% 1.93 —
55.5% 1.8 —

Total goals

91.1% 1.1 —
69.7% 1.43 —
43.2% 2.31 —
22.4% 4.46 —
30.3% 3.3 —
56.8% 1.76 —
77.6% 1.29 —

1st-half goals

59.6% 1.68 —
23.0% 4.34 —

Home team goals

70.9% 1.41 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Away team goals

68.9% 1.45 —
32.4% 3.08 —

Both to score

48.7% 2.05 —

Corners

80.4% 1.24 —
70.8% 1.41 —
60.1% 1.66 —
48.6% 2.06 —
37.7% 2.65 —
29.2% 3.43 —
39.9% 2.51 —
51.4% 1.95 —
62.3% 1.61 —

Home corners

84.2% 1.19 —
71.7% 1.39 —
56.8% 1.76 —

Away corners

62.6% 1.6 —
44.5% 2.25 —
28.9% 3.46 —

Cards

69.0% 1.45 —
50.1% 2.0 —
33.1% 3.02 —
19.9% 5.03 —
49.9% 2.0 —
66.9% 1.49 —
80.1% 1.25 —

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