Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Belgium / 2026-09-13 17:30

Waregem Charleroi

Home 38% 2.62 fair
Draw 25% 4.01 fair
Away 37% 2.71 fair
Expected Goals2.84
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.554%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 10.23 no edge over baseline
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.01 model adds signal (+2.9%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.2% 2.62 37.0% 2.45
24.9% 4.01 27.5% 3.30
36.9% 2.71 35.5% 2.55
63.1% 1.59
61.8% 1.62
75.1% 1.33

Half-time result

26.4% 3.79
40.4% 2.48
33.3% 3.0

Half-time double chance

66.7% 1.5
73.7% 1.36
59.7% 1.68

Both halves

9.8% 10.25

HT/FT

20.6% 4.86
4.1% 24.33
14.6% 6.86
14.8% 6.77
11.0% 9.09
3.0% 32.79
6.0% 16.58
24.2% 4.13

HT/FT double chance

54.0% 1.85
47.8% 2.09
31.6% 3.17
33.7% 2.96
49.5% 2.02
36.0% 2.77
38.4% 2.6
52.8% 1.89
56.0% 1.79

Total goals

93.7% 1.07
76.9% 1.3
53.7% 1.86 54.6% 1.73
31.8% 3.14
23.1% 4.33
46.3% 2.16 45.4% 2.08
68.2% 1.47

1st-half goals

72.0% 1.39
36.8% 2.72

Home team goals

76.0% 1.32
42.1% 2.37

Away team goals

74.7% 1.34
40.6% 2.46

Both to score

57.0% 1.75

Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

74.7% 1.34
64.3% 1.55
54.0% 1.85
43.5% 2.3
34.1% 2.93
35.7% 2.8
46.0% 2.17
56.5% 1.77
65.8% 1.52

Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

73.1% 1.37
57.8% 1.73
42.5% 2.35

Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

67.1% 1.49
51.0% 1.96
35.9% 2.79

Cards

72.1% 1.39
53.9% 1.85
36.9% 2.71
23.1% 4.33
46.1% 2.17
63.1% 1.59
76.9% 1.3

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds