Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Belgium / 2026-09-13 15:00

Genk – Gent

Home 49% 2.05 fair
Draw 25% 4.0 fair
Away 26% 3.8 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Genk – Gent
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Genk – Gent
Expected Goals2.76
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.552%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 2.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.97 no edge over baseline
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.96 model adds signal (+2.9%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.7% 2.05 47.4% 1.91
25.0% 4.0 25.9% 3.50
26.3% 3.8 26.7% 3.40
73.7% 1.36 —
51.3% 1.95 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Half-time result

37.3% 2.68 —
38.9% 2.57 —
23.9% 4.19 —

Half-time double chance

76.1% 1.31 —
62.7% 1.59 —
61.1% 1.64 —

Both halves

14.5% 6.88 —

HT/FT

30.7% 3.26 —
5.2% 19.19 —
15.4% 6.5 —
14.4% 6.96 —
9.1% 10.96 —
5.4% 18.45 —
15.8% 6.32 —

HT/FT double chance

65.6% 1.52 —
56.6% 1.77 —
30.1% 3.32 —
43.9% 2.28 —
50.5% 1.98 —
27.8% 3.59 —
37.8% 2.65 —
43.0% 2.33 —
44.7% 2.24 —

Total goals

94.0% 1.06 —
76.6% 1.31 —
52.1% 1.92 52.6% 1.80
30.4% 3.29 —
23.4% 4.27 —
47.9% 2.09 47.4% 2.00
69.6% 1.44 —

1st-half goals

74.0% 1.35 —
38.5% 2.6 —

Home team goals

80.7% 1.24 —
48.4% 2.07 —

Away team goals

68.6% 1.46 —
31.9% 3.14 —

Both to score

55.3% 1.81 —

Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

73.1% 1.37 —
63.0% 1.59 —
52.5% 1.9 —
41.9% 2.39 —
32.5% 3.07 —
37.0% 2.7 —
47.5% 2.11 —
58.1% 1.72 —
67.5% 1.48 —

Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

80.2% 1.25 —
67.4% 1.48 —
53.4% 1.87 —

Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

52.9% 1.89 —
36.1% 2.77 —
22.7% 4.41 —

Cards

71.5% 1.4 —
52.9% 1.89 —
35.9% 2.79 —
22.6% 4.43 —
47.1% 2.12 —
64.1% 1.56 —
77.4% 1.29 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds